Arizona’s 8th District Analysis

Arizona’s 8th congressional district is a special election race that’s been garnering some media attention as of late, with Democrats again seeking to make major headway against the Republicans. (read here) However, based on other data and my analysis in this article, I’ll be showing why I think there is next to no chance of a Democratic victory in this area.

A little about the history, this seat was previously held by Trent Franks. Franks resigned in December 2017 due to allegations of sexual misconduct. Policy-wise, he voted against Obamacare, was skeptical about global warming as early as 2008, and passed a bill in 2017 to prevent abortions after 20 weeks (except in cases of rape and incest).

The Republican candidate, winning over 11 other people in the primary, is Debbie Lesko, who previously was a member of the Arizona Senate from 2014 to 2018, resigning when she ran for the primary. Additionally, she was a delegate in the 2016 election who aided Trump in getting the necessary votes for the Republican nomination.

In terms of policy, she is wholeheartedly in favor of Trump’s border security plan (the wall), wants to move education back to the local level, is in favor of cutting taxes and regulations, and is a strong supporter of gun rights, being backed by the NRA.

Her Democratic opponent is Hiral Tipirneni, a newcomer to politics. As such, little is known on her personally, but when it comes to policy she is your quintessential liberal, being against Trump’s immigration plan, is firmly against the idea of the wall, and is in favor of regulating guns/the second amendment.

Pundits have this race pinned as a “safe republican”, which again bolsters my thoughts that this seat will be safe when April 24th rolls around. No polls have been conducted, however in 2016 Trent Franks won this seat by 37% over his Green Party challenger. This is only slightly worrying as the Democrats have not run for this seat in some time. With this race right around the corner, now is the time to begin pushing for Lesko to be elected, and to not let the Democrats make any significant inroads.

In addition, the Republican base as a whole must become more energized for these races. It was unfortunate to see yesterday the Wisconsin Supreme Court flip a seat to the Democrats by 10+ points. (although that’s more the fault of Scott Walker) The Democrats are bussing in people and are being very politically active, and we need to counter that with our own political activity. People need to be aware of these races and who to support, so that’s why I’m gonna continue what I’m doing.

I’m sorry that I’ve been so quiet on this blog as of late, but the major changes to its layout has taken some time from my end, and especially from my Web Designer’s end. I will continue to come out with more stories on races soon, though. As always, feedback is appreciated, and any ideas for new articles are too. Long live the Capitalist Army!


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6 thoughts on “Arizona’s 8th District Analysis

  1. Polls have Debbie winning by eight. I think Republicans hold this one by at least 3 points. They aren’t really focused on special elections, evidence by Breitbart, r_theDonald, and other conservative outlets not focusing on elections. The guy resigning due to the sex scandal, he won’t be the last. More people will resign, Republicans are almost done with their sex scandals, soon it will be Democrats turn in the summer when they have already picked some candidates.

    Some recent ones:

    HARTFORD, Conn. (AP) — A Connecticut lawmaker accused of sending affectionate text messages to a 16-year-old girl resigned Thursday, three weeks after he told House Democratic leaders he would be doing so.

    Rep. Angel Arce said in a resignation letter submitted to Secretary of the State Denise Merrill that he didn’t want his “presence to be distraction to the very important work that occurs at the Capitol” and did not want his “family, friends and supporters to be burdened in any way.” The resignation is effective April 9.

    Two fellow Democrats, Gov. Dannel P. Malloy and House Speaker Joe Aresimowicz, had called on the former assistant majority leader to resign at the beginning of the month after the Hartford Courant published a series of text messages the 57-year-old grandfather allegedly sent to the teen in 2015. One read, “good night love and sweet dreams and thank you for coming into my life.”

    Congressional Democrats have led efforts to end sexual harassment and abuse on Capitol Hill, but remain silent about whether Connecticut Democrat Rep. Elizabeth Esty should resign for failing to take swift action after learning about alleged harassment and physical abuse in her Washington office.

    All in all. I think Republicans can actually do well in the midterms if they just start paying attention. Majority of people are not focused on politics. The recent loss in Wisconsin had around 48% turnout, Republicans had terrible weather and awful conditions, but regardless they would still lost if Wisconsin was warm. The energy from leaders such as Scott Walker and Paul Ryan or non-existent.GOP chairwoman just makes tweets and is actually raising money. I honestly believe President Trump should replace her with Scott Presler. He actually would be a much better job. The number one reason why we are losing these elections is because Republicans are not paying attention. The other reasons include Gary Johnson voters who cost Hilary the election, if he GJ did not run Hilary would have won Wisconsin, Michigan, and PA. I think we need a better pitch to those voters because if we get them we win NM, Nev., N.H., Me., and Minn. easily. The speech writers of Trump have to do a better job of outlining his policy achievements, especially during rallies. The President was the sole reason why Rick Saccone did not get blasted. He ran as an anti-union individual in P.A. of all places. The guy did not campaign at all. I think we as supporters should do a better job of paying attention to primaries, but it’s like pulling teeth trying to get people to talk about these elections. In May we have important primaries that people should focus on but won’t. In West Virginia, specifically Don Blankenship has a shot to win and that’s an easy win for Joe Manchin. I really do not understand why Trump just can’t kick out Paul Ryan and insert some one else.

    Thanks for listening to my jibberish. I love your website and I hope you have more content.

    Liked by 1 person

    1. It’s a shame so many people, not just politicians like this one, have fallen victim to the #MeToo witch hunt. And I have to agree on the turn-out front, but we need a way to make Republican voters pay attention to these races. Anyways, thanks for your comment!


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    Liked by 1 person

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