Arizona’s 8th congressional district is a special election race that’s been garnering some media attention as of late, with Democrats again seeking to make major headway against the Republicans. (read here) However, based on other data and my analysis in this article, I’ll be showing why I think there is next to no chance of a Democratic victory in this area.
A little about the history, this seat was previously held by Trent Franks. Franks resigned in December 2017 due to allegations of sexual misconduct. Policy-wise, he voted against Obamacare, was skeptical about global warming as early as 2008, and passed a bill in 2017 to prevent abortions after 20 weeks (except in cases of rape and incest).
The Republican candidate, winning over 11 other people in the primary, is Debbie Lesko, who previously was a member of the Arizona Senate from 2014 to 2018, resigning when she ran for the primary. Additionally, she was a delegate in the 2016 election who aided Trump in getting the necessary votes for the Republican nomination.
In terms of policy, she is wholeheartedly in favor of Trump’s border security plan (the wall), wants to move education back to the local level, is in favor of cutting taxes and regulations, and is a strong supporter of gun rights, being backed by the NRA.
Her Democratic opponent is Hiral Tipirneni, a newcomer to politics. As such, little is known on her personally, but when it comes to policy she is your quintessential liberal, being against Trump’s immigration plan, is firmly against the idea of the wall, and is in favor of regulating guns/the second amendment.
Pundits have this race pinned as a “safe republican”, which again bolsters my thoughts that this seat will be safe when April 24th rolls around. No polls have been conducted, however in 2016 Trent Franks won this seat by 37% over his Green Party challenger. This is only slightly worrying as the Democrats have not run for this seat in some time. With this race right around the corner, now is the time to begin pushing for Lesko to be elected, and to not let the Democrats make any significant inroads.
In addition, the Republican base as a whole must become more energized for these races. It was unfortunate to see yesterday the Wisconsin Supreme Court flip a seat to the Democrats by 10+ points. (although that’s more the fault of Scott Walker) The Democrats are bussing in people and are being very politically active, and we need to counter that with our own political activity. People need to be aware of these races and who to support, so that’s why I’m gonna continue what I’m doing.
I’m sorry that I’ve been so quiet on this blog as of late, but the major changes to its layout has taken some time from my end, and especially from my Web Designer’s end. I will continue to come out with more stories on races soon, though. As always, feedback is appreciated, and any ideas for new articles are too. Long live the Capitalist Army!
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